Done as Samotsvety:
- Samotsvety Nuclear Risk Forecasts — March 2022
- Samotsvety’s AI risk forecasts
- Prediction Markets in the Corporate Setting
- GJO Calibration app
- Micro-grants for forecasting
- Bottlenecks to more impactful crowd forecasting
With other hats
- Forecasting Newsletter, by Nuño
- Metaforecast, by QURI
- Squiggle, by QURI
- Impactful Forecasting Prize, by Sage
- Pastcasting, by Sage
- Better scoring rules, by Nuño
- Alignment Problems With Current Forecasting Platforms, by Nuño and Alex Lawsen
- Comparing top forecasters and domain experts, by Arb